Insider Names Top 5 Players Most Likely to Be Traded
So, who are the most likely of all the trade candidates around the majors to actually get dealt ahead of the deadline a month from now?
ESPN's Jeff Passan has listed all the potential candidates, and has assessed their probability of getting dealt. With that, we look at the top 5 players most likely to get traded:
1. Luis Robert Jr., OF, Chicago White Sox: 90% chance, per Passan
Robert isn't doing the White Sox any favors with his dreadful year at the plate. The rebuilding team would love to trade the power/speed combo outfielder, but his .185 average and .584 OPS are so bad, the return would be minimal at this point. The only saving grace is that the final two years of his deal in 2026 & '27 are team options at $20M, so Robert has no guaranteed money after this season (other than a $2M buyout). Despite his brutal season, Passan still puts Robert's chances of getting traded at 90%.
2. Ryan O'Hearn, 1B/OF Baltimore Orioles: 85%
O'Hearn is having an unexpected breakout season at the age of 31 (soon to be 32). Can he maintain his .300 pace? Between the O's last-place standing, and the player's excellent year at the plate, Passan put O'Hearn's chances of being dealt at 85%. We looked at four potential landing spots for the 1B/OF recently.
3. Adolis Garcia, OF, Texas Rangers: 80%
The power-packed outfielder is having a hard time putting the bat on the ball for the second straight season, batting just .229 with a .666 OPS. He has one more year of team control through arbitration and is making $10.5 million this season.
4. Zach Eflin, P, Baltimore Orioles: 75%
The 31-year-old is having an awful season with a 5.46 ERA, and the O's would be glad to ship out what's left of his $18M deal. He's a free agent after the season. The return won't be much, at this point.
5. Nick Martinez, Cincinnati Reds: 70%
Let's just say that Martinez bumped up his trade value exponentially on Friday, coming within three outs of a no-hitter. Passan gave him a 65% chance of being traded, but we're bumping it up to 70% just for the no-no bid.
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